Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 150.624411 176.256539 206.865229 246.685960 297.999233 3.631696e+02 4.543707e+02
2025-02-16 117.360800 148.206336 189.414937 250.567050 342.977196 4.849856e+02 7.377353e+02
2025-02-23 100.033583 132.428662 178.916327 254.323722 382.240349 6.108471e+02 1.115113e+03
2025-03-02 89.061929 122.278589 172.710103 260.730552 425.824663 7.656444e+02 1.704219e+03
2025-03-09 80.214429 113.309404 165.857114 263.264479 462.494362 9.296801e+02 2.558950e+03
2025-03-16 71.607238 103.230494 155.097409 255.653974 475.586675 1.049611e+03 3.530772e+03
2025-03-23 67.401101 99.485790 154.151260 266.012870 532.054239 1.332676e+03 6.132404e+03
2025-03-30 60.937438 91.143764 143.731861 254.764033 532.435024 1.447165e+03 8.417014e+03
2025-04-06 57.269087 87.093747 140.457489 257.773659 571.416229 1.744443e+03 1.499387e+04
2025-04-13 53.598286 82.613231 135.697846 256.381440 598.005154 2.031934e+03 2.716483e+04
2025-04-20 52.116147 81.830574 137.908059 271.623662 683.378235 2.758612e+03 9.879129e+04
2025-04-27 51.667952 82.848334 143.824556 297.625532 823.093928 4.228612e+03 3.577014e+06
2025-05-04 48.106191 78.035631 137.737660 293.224732 858.267878 5.179893e+03 NaN
2025-05-11 45.534024 74.912551 134.960116 297.738030 938.512768 7.149498e+03 NaN
2025-05-18 43.280747 72.145754 132.506835 302.528593 1027.280279 1.020123e+04 NaN
2025-05-25 41.474357 70.062514 131.260803 310.690670 1144.869876 1.593108e+04 NaN
2025-06-01 39.557939 67.556233 128.657424 313.924433 1243.000179 2.452543e+04 NaN
2025-06-08 37.140114 63.801997 122.600247 304.221318 1255.074502 3.111148e+04 NaN
2025-06-15 36.109491 62.839174 123.168851 317.435330 1441.500286 6.829765e+04 NaN
2025-06-22 33.862455 59.120569 116.463470 303.088495 1411.849757 8.238470e+04 NaN
2025-06-29 32.632437 57.479605 114.799869 306.921044 1537.072929 1.844421e+05 NaN
2025-07-06 31.261097 55.425431 111.837365 305.147607 1617.145141 4.196716e+05 NaN
2025-07-13 30.829961 55.381716 114.089141 324.613865 1943.685151 2.498838e+07 NaN